ComScore finally released their U.S. smartphone market share data for June. It’s definitely an interesting set of numbers and leaves so many questions unanswered.
Google’s Android operating system scored the only gains from the previous month. Essentially they were the only operating system that managed to steal subscribers from the competition. Both iOS and WP7 maintained the exact same market share percentage. There are new smartphone buyers every second, but neither company could outpace Android in the month of June. Unfortunately for RIM and HP, they also stayed consistent… in losing customers. Using the data from the previous four months, my calculations put Blackberry at around 16% market share by Christmas (when Android will be nearing the big 5-0 percentage) and webOS completely disappearing before 2012.
What can we interpret for the future? When will Android peak? After hitting it’s highest market share ever last month, has iOS maxed out? Can Microsoft keep interest until Mango arrives? Is RIM somehow turning around their losing streak or are their customers waiting to jump ship for the next wave of superphones? What the hell is going on with webOS?
With so many great phones on the horizon for each company (well, maybe except webOS) it’ll make for an even more interesting Q4 2011.
Source: comScore
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webOS is gonna go up, not down. They will be releasing the Pre3 this month and they're most likely going to license the OS to other manufacturers and will be all all HP computers starting in 2012.
with Google merging Chromium/Android, Apple merging Lion/iOS, and (naturally) Windows 8/Windows Phone being combined, HP is headed down the right path in regards to software (not sure what RIM can do to combat this other than start making WP7 or webOS phones)
however, i just don't see the draw towards a webOS handset... nowadays you need a 4.3" candybar/slate superphone to grab consumers... I know there are webOS/Pre fans out there (i've seen them on the internet!) but I've honestly only known a single person with a webOS phone and have never seen one in use out in the wild... great software, better than RIM, but not quite better than Android/iOS/WP7
in this industry there is no fourth place, nor is there room for a third place
HP announced today that they're ditching webOS. But it'd be nice if they open-source it or license it out rather than just give up on it completely.